clash of kings – Data and Dice https://dataanddice.com Data and Dice Wed, 06 Nov 2024 01:16:08 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.1 https://dataanddice.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/06/cropped-logo-32x32.png clash of kings – Data and Dice https://dataanddice.com 32 32 2024 Australian Kings of War Masters: Faction Analysis, Meta Trends, and Top Lists Breakdown https://dataanddice.com/2024-australian-kings-of-war-masters-faction-analysis-meta-trends-and-top-lists-breakdown/ https://dataanddice.com/2024-australian-kings-of-war-masters-faction-analysis-meta-trends-and-top-lists-breakdown/#comments Wed, 06 Nov 2024 01:16:04 +0000 https://dataanddice.com/?p=2800 The Australian Kings of War Masters tournament is a significant event that brings together the best players from across the country, all vying for the title of 2024 champion. In this article, I’ll dive into the pre-tournament analysis, examining faction representation, unit compositions, and key meta-defining elements like popular units and magic items. By looking at the data, I’ll uncover trends that give insight into how the competitive landscape is shaping up for this year’s Masters.

First, the typical spreadsheet with generated info from the parsed lists:

Faction Breakdown

The tournament features a diverse range of factions. The most represented factions include Ogres and Dwarfs, each fielding two players. All other factions have only a single representative. With only 16 lists, this represents a small sample size, especially compared to larger events like the UK Clash of Kings, which featured nearly 200 participants. This makes it tough to draw firm conclusions, but it does indicate a relatively balanced field, with no single faction dominating in numbers, highlighting the healthy diversity of the competitive meta.

FactionCount
Ogres2
Dwarfs2
The Order of the Green Lady1
Salamanders1
The Herd1
Empire of Dust1
Kingdoms of Men1
Elves1
Twilight Kin1
Goblins1
Nightstalkers1
Ratkin1
Varangur1
Abyssal Dwarfs1

The wide variety of factions represented shows that players are comfortable experimenting with different playstyles and strategies, instead of consolidating around a perceived “strongest” army. However, given the limited number of participants, view these trends with caution as they may not fully represent broader meta shifts. Additionally, this tournament is being played under the existing Clash of Kings 2024 rules, not the upcoming rebalancing that has already been issued, which may influence players’ list choices differently compared to future events.

Unit Composition Breakdown

The average total number of units per army is between 13 and 15, aligning closely with other major tournaments like the US Masters, Aussie Clash of Kings, UK Masters, and Lonewolf GT, where average drops typically fall in the 13-14 range. For a more in-depth analysis on similar tournaments, refer to this post.

Notably, Andrew Goodman’s Dwarfs army fields 13 units, but maximizes unit strength at 27. He packs a lot of firepower (average expected damage of 83.8). Conversely, Matt Curtis’s Elves bring a lower drop count (11) but with a different distribution of strengths, focusing on speed and tactical flexibility. The average speed of his units is 7.5, and 45% are Nimble, enhancing their maneuverability on the battlefield.

These variations show that players are taking varied approaches to list-building, with some opting for smaller, elite forces while others choose large, multi-unit armies for broader board control. Here is a summary of average army characteristics based on the data:

AttributeAverage
Total Units14.0
Unit Strength24.7
Scoring Units11.4
Avg Speed6.5
Nimble4.3
Avg Defense4.5
Nerve Pool220.1
Shots to Six Nerve362.4

Magic Items Taken

I’m often fascinated by seeing the various magic items. Here is a summary of the most commonly taken magic items at the tournament:

Magic ItemCount
Sir Jesse’s Boots of Striding6
Staying Stone4
Helm of the Drunken Ram4
Conjurer’s Staff3
Hammer of Measured Force3

The J-boots continue to be immensely popular as terrain mitigation, and the Staying Stone is a cheap anti-waiver tool for many lists. The eternal debate about whether the Hammer of Measured Force is a points trap or an essential tool continues, with 3 of 16 lists picking it here.

Standout Lists

Drawing firm conclusions from a field this small and this competitive is challenging. As I mentioned on Countercharge, predicting performance based on list-building alone is highly uncertain. However, Jeffrey Traish’s Abyssal Dwarf build stands out to me. It is surprisingly fast, versatile, and capable of packing a punch—strong in many areas without overcommitting to any single strategy. Adam Story’s Order of the Green Lady is also notable, with 10 drops (7 scoring) and a unit strength of 19. It’s extremely fast and could create match-up issues, especially in a slower, dwarf-heavy meta. However, its low drop count makes it unforgiving. If played well, as Marcelo demonstrated at US Masters, the Order of the Green Lady can be a formidable challenge. The key question is whether Adam can avoid mistakes and make a deep run.

Conclusion

The pre-tournament data for the 2024 Australian Kings of War Masters highlights a diverse and balanced meta. Players are experimenting with a variety of factions, units, and strategies. However, given the small sample size of only 16 lists, it’s important to hedge these conclusions, as they may not fully reflect broader meta trends seen in larger tournaments. While some classic units and magic items dominate in popularity, there is enough variation to show that no single strategy will easily reign supreme. The stage is set for an exciting and unpredictable competition, where adaptability will be key to victory.

I will follow up post-tournament to see how these pre-event analyses translated into results on the table. Stay tuned for more insights as I continue to break down the Kings of War meta!

]]>
https://dataanddice.com/2024-australian-kings-of-war-masters-faction-analysis-meta-trends-and-top-lists-breakdown/feed/ 2
Clash of Kings Australia: Tournament Results Breakdown https://dataanddice.com/australian-clash-of-kings-2024-a-preliminary-breakdown/ https://dataanddice.com/australian-clash-of-kings-2024-a-preliminary-breakdown/#respond Sun, 28 Jan 2024 00:05:11 +0000 https://foxiz.themeruby.com/monster/?p=67 Clash of Kings Australia 2024 has concluded, marking another riveting chapter in the Kings of War competitive scene. This year’s tournament, results of which can be explored in detail at the Mantic Companion website, showcased a diverse range of strategies and army builds.

The Winner: Jeffrey Traish’s Dwarfs

Jeffrey Traish’s victory with his Dwarfs was a testament to the resilience and offensive capabilities of this army. This must be the least-surprising outcome, but it does point to a renewed Dwarf resurgence with Ordered March.

The Runner-up: Damien Madigan’s Salamanders

Damien Madigan, securing the second spot, presented an elite Salamander army. His army composition, characterized by low drops, emphasized quality over quantity. This approach, combined with decent survivability and commendable damage output, proved to be highly effective.

Third Place: Matt Curtis’s Elves

Matt Curtis’s Elves, clinching third place, offered a unique approach with a lower unit strength of 19. His list, unusual for its heavy reliance on chariots and a relatively lighter emphasis on shooting, demonstrated the versatility and tactical depth of the Elves. This unorthodox strategy highlighted the game’s strategic diversity, showing that even less conventional army builds can achieve notable success. Will this drive a change in the typical Elf builds we’re seeing?

Meta-Level Analysis

In forthcoming analysis, I’ll delve into various factors that influenced victory in Clash of Kings Australia, including unit strength and the number of scoring units.

That may take me some time to pull together. In the meantime, I’ll give some preliminary results. First, the overall player results:

Player Faction Wins Losses Draws Elo
Jeffrey Traish Dwarfs 6 0 0 2052
Damien Madigan Salamanders 5 1 0 1899
Matt Curtis Elves 5 1 0 1845
Stephen Devenish Goblins 5 1 0 1828
Andrew Whitehead Nightstalkers 4 1 1 1788
Trevor Younghusband Basileans 4 1 1 1753
Andrew Goodman Abyssal Dwarfs 4 2 0 1752
Paul Collins Goblins 4 1 1 1749
Ben Rantall The Herd 4 2 0 1747
Adrian Scott Dwarfs 4 2 0 1742
Age Zae Trident Realm Of Neritica 3 1 2 1738
Ken Ferris Forces Of The Abyss 4 2 0 1734
John Mcgarry Northern Alliance 4 2 0 1719
Michael Clarke Varangur 4 2 0 1700
Yan Zhi Lai Ogres 4 2 0 1660
Mathew Sellick Undead 3 2 1 1651
Matthew Trewella Nightstalkers 4 2 0 1638
Stephen Tuck Free Dwarfs 2 1 3 1627
Bruce Tobin Ogres 2 1 0 1627
Evan Ferris Abyssal Dwarfs 3 2 1 1617
Adam Macaskill Forces Of The Abyss 3 2 1 1603
Daniel Bird Halflings 3 3 0 1551
Luke Schafer Kingdoms Of Men 3 3 0 1548
Owen Jones Varangur 3 3 0 1534
Daniel Harwood The Herd 3 3 0 1533
Oswald Wendt Ratkin 3 3 0 1530
Scott Marshall Undead 3 3 0 1516
Robert Sadler Free Dwarfs 3 3 0 1514
Glen Porritt Elves 3 3 0 1508
Craig Smellie Undead 3 2 1 1487
Adam S The Order Of The Green Lady 3 3 0 1475
Patrick Williamson The Herd 3 3 0 1470
Daniel Glenn Matters Empire Of Dust 3 2 1 1469
Michael Douglas Abyssal Dwarfs 3 3 0 1462
Joshua Angel Abyssal Dwarfs 1 1 4 1457
Trent Walker Ogres 3 3 0 1456
Lyle Marsden Kingdoms Of Men 3 3 0 1454
Rob Empire Of Dust 3 3 0 1444
Steven Houghton Varangur 2 2 2 1438
Christopher Willcox Goblins 3 3 0 1426
Mitchell Millington Undead 2 3 1 1407
Alex Sobinoff Forces Of Nature 1 3 2 1403
Tony Winmill The Herd 2 4 0 1347
Dale Hastings Dwarfs 2 4 0 1344
Antony Pedersen Empire Of Dust 2 4 0 1323
Jon Turkich Trident Realm Of Neritica 1 4 1 1313
Luke Loseby Abyssal Dwarfs 2 4 0 1304
Spare Spare Army 2 2 0 1293
Gregory Turkich Kingdoms Of Men 2 1 1 1286
Lachlan Elves 2 4 0 1261
James Moutsos The Order Of The Green Lady 2 4 0 1255
Henry Lukin Kingdoms Of Men 1 4 1 1247
Brendan Cousins Northern Alliance 1 4 1 1228
Kathryn Basileans 0 3 0 1220
Chris Harper Empire Of Dust 1 5 0 1157
Ed Hamacek League Of Rhordia 1 5 0 1145
Roxanne Henderson Goblins 1 5 0 1128
Lindsay Nightstalkers 1 5 0 1113
Walter Dirix Orcs 1 5 0 1054
Simon Gilbert Noble Undead 0 6 0 951

And then for faction data:

Faction Wins Losses Draws WinPct Elo
Salamanders 5 1 0 0.833 1899
Dwarfs 12 6 0 0.667 1713
Forces Of The Abyss 7 4 1 0.625 1669
Basileans 4 4 1 0.500 1575
Ogres 9 6 0 0.600 1572
Free Dwarfs 5 4 3 0.542 1571
Varangur 9 7 2 0.556 1557
Halflings 3 3 0 0.500 1551
Elves 10 8 0 0.556 1538
Goblins 13 10 1 0.563 1533
Ratkin 3 3 0 0.500 1530
Trident Realm Of Neritica 4 5 3 0.458 1525
The Herd 12 12 0 0.500 1524
Abyssal Dwarfs 13 12 5 0.517 1518
Undead 11 10 3 0.521 1515
Nightstalkers 9 8 1 0.528 1513
Northern Alliance 5 6 1 0.458 1474
Forces Of Nature 1 3 2 0.333 1403
Kingdoms Of Men 9 11 2 0.455 1388
The Order Of The Green Lady 5 7 0 0.417 1365
Empire Of Dust 9 14 1 0.396 1348
Spare Army 2 2 0 0.500 1293
League Of Rhordia 1 5 0 0.167 1145
Orcs 1 5 0 0.167 1054
Noble Undead 0 6 0 0.000 951

Preliminary data suggests that Dwarfs have shown significant improvement in this tournament, signaling a potential shift in the meta. This is a small sample size from a single tournament (Clash of Kings Australia), but I do think we’re starting to see the impact of Ordered March.

And finally, a cross-tab to see the faction-vs-faction results:

Faction Abyssal Dwarfs Basileans Dwarfs Elves Empire Of Dust Forces Of Nature Forces Of The Abyss Free Dwarfs Goblins Halflings Kingdoms Of Men League Of Rhordia Nightstalkers Noble Undead Northern Alliance Ogres Orcs Ratkin Salamanders Spare Army The Herd The Order Of The Green Lady Trident Realm Of Neritica Undead Varangur
Abyssal Dwarfs 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-1 0-0-1 1-0-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 2-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-1 2-2-0
Basileans 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-1 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Dwarfs 1-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0
Elves 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0
Empire Of Dust 0-1-1 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0
Forces Of Nature 0-0-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-1 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Forces Of The Abyss 0-1-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Free Dwarfs 0-0-0 0-1-1 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-1 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Goblins 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-1 0-2-0 1-0-0
Halflings 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Kingdoms Of Men 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 2-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-2 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 2-1-0 0-1-0
League Of Rhordia 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Nightstalkers 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-1 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
Noble Undead 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Northern Alliance 0-0-1 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0
Ogres 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0
Orcs 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
Ratkin 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0
Salamanders 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0
Spare Army 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0
The Herd 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 4-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-1-0
The Order Of The Green Lady 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0
Trident Realm Of Neritica 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-1 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-1 1-1-1
Undead 1-1-1 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-1 0-0-0 1-1-1
Varangur 2-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-1 1-1-1 0-0-0

Stay tuned for a more detailed analysis in future posts, where I plan to dig into the strategic intricacies and data-driven insights from Clash of Kings Australia 2024.

]]>
https://dataanddice.com/australian-clash-of-kings-2024-a-preliminary-breakdown/feed/ 0